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Last seen: out 16, 2024
Hi Jason, I thought this day was educational (in a sordid sort of way) about what to look for in trading ranges. Everything strong that eith...
A minor reversal is more likely to end up as TR while a major reversal (e.g. MTR) is taken in hopes of the market reversing into an opposite trend.
Hi Andreas, The first slide has a bit of a giveaway since it says right there "minor wedge since tight bear channel". When there's a tight channel/l...
The 40% -> 50% improvement (fuzzy numbers anyways) is for the traders who bought B10. When you get two strong consecutive bulls like 10,11, the...
The probabilities are just estimates -- we'll never know the exact numbers but also it's not necessary to know them exactly. We just assume it fluctua...
If you started with a high probability trade then it's important for it to remain high until the end of the trade so the trader's equation remains val...
Hi Nandkishore, Nice first trade for opening reversal and excellent hold. With such a swing probably already done for the day 😀 Here are my thoug...
Buying B12 was right in the middle of the trading range. It was the first break of a tight bear channel so expect to test down first. And it was follo...
Just be careful that your fear of losing money doesn't push you towards trades with super tight stops because those are usually lower probability than...
Hi Andreas, I think you've described a fine strategy and it definitely makes sense to pay attention to profit target areas of early traders. When bu...
Nice trades! Good thinking to look to buy low in TR and good discipline to not be greedy and exit at reasonable targets. Depending on where you think ...
Some more examples: Here a weak 3 legged push (or alternatively 3, then one more for wedge BO failure) against a much stronger bull leg so low proba...
Sorry, I should clarify that trading that doji day above by fading prior swing highs and lows is not the only way. It's just how I do it. There are ma...
Hi Alejandro, I feel your pain as I suffer from issues like not taking losses as well. And you're right, lately the market has been very tight. This...
Video 48E: 19:30 "so bull trend, the gap up is a bull trend --"