The S&P 500 Emini futures broke below the 9-month trading range this week but closed as a reversal bar with a bear body and a long tail below. The selling has been climactic. The bulls hope that a 2 legged sideways to up pullback will begin soon. The bears will need to create another bear bar to confirm the breakout below the trading range.
Emini weak breakout below trading range
The S&P 500 Emini futures had a weak breakout below February low. Bears hope this is simply a breakout pullback and wants a strong breakout and a measured move down. Bulls want a reversal higher from the bottom of the 9-month trading range. They see a wedge bull flag and a lower low major trend reversal setup.
However, the sell-off from March 29 has been strong. Odds are, a pullback (bounce) from here would be minor and traders expect at least a small second leg sideways to down after a slightly larger pullback.
Emini monthly big bear bar testing 20-month EMA
The S&P 500 Emini futures has 4 consecutive bear bars closing near the low on the weekly chart, testing the February low. The bears need a couple of closes below the February low on the weekly chart to convince traders that a deeper correction may be underway. The bulls hope that this is simply a sell vacuum test of the trading range low.
The Monthly candlestick is forming the second leg down from the January top. The Emini is in a 9-month trading range. While odds slightly favor a test below February low, breakouts from trading ranges fail 50% of the time.
Emini third consecutive bear bar on weekly chart
The S&P 500 Emini futures had a failed failure on the weekly chart. Odds slightly favor sideways to down early next week. It may even gap down on Monday. However, small gaps usually close early.
Bears want a test of the February low followed by a strong breakout and a measured move down. Bulls want next week to have a bull body, even though the Emini may trade lower first.
S&P 500 Emini futures consecutive bear bars
The S&P 500 Emini futures had a consecutive bear bar on the weekly chart. The bears are hoping to get the 3rd consecutive bear bar trading far below March 3 high. If they get that, the odds of a test of the February low increases. The bulls see this as a 50% pullback and want a 2nd leg sideways to up to re-test March 29 high.
S&P 500 Emini pullback on weekly chart
Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini Futures S&P 500 Emini pullback on weekly chart. Bulls want a re-test of the March 29 high and a continuation higher to re-test the trend extreme. Bears want a reversal lower from a double top bear flag with the February high. Odds slightly favor a second leg sideways to up after the […]
Emini futures pause after testing February 2 high
Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini futures The S&P 500 Emini futures pause after testing the February 2 high this week on the weekly chart pulling back slightly to close below it. The bulls hope that this is simply a pause before the trend resumes higher to test the January high. The bears want the Emini to stall […]
Emini bull follow-through bar on weekly chart
Al added a few comments to report Market Overview: Weekend Market Analysis The SP500 Emini bulls got bull follow-through buying on the weekly chart. Odds favor a test of the February 2 high. The bulls will need to close far above the February 2 high to convince traders that a re-test of the trend extreme […]
Emini big bull bar from wedge bull flag & HL MTR
Al added a few comments to report SP500 Emini: Weekend Market Analysis The SP500 Emini futures reversed higher with big bull bar from a wedge bull flag and a higher low major trend reversal. It broke far above the bear trend line and closed near the weekly high. Bulls hope that the correction has ended […]
Emini stalls forming third leg sideways to down
Market Overview: Weekend Market Analysis The SP500 Emini futures stalled and formed the 3rd leg sideways to down. Bears want a strong break below the February 24 low followed by a measured move down. They need next week to close as another bear follow-through bar. If they get that, the odds of a breakout below February 24 […]