Trading Update: Tuesday January 16, 2024
S&P Emini pre-open market analysis
Emini daily chart
- The Emini is near the March 2022 magnet and will probably have to reach it in the next couple of days.
- The Emini is going sideways at the December 28th high of last year. The bears want a downside breakout and test of the neckline (January low).
- The bulls want an upside breakout above December 28th and a test of the March 2022 high.
- The market is so close to the March 2022 high that it will likely have to get there. This means that bears may hesitate to sell right below an important magnet (March 2022) and instead wait to sell at the March 2022 high.
- The bulls will see the month-long trading range as a bull flag, leading to trend continuation.
- The bears are hopeful that a breakout above the month-long trading range will lead to a final flag, creating a reversal down.
- At the moment, the odds favor a test of the March 2022 high, which is around 40 points above.
Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today
- Emini is down 16 points in the overnight Globex session.
- The Emini has gone sideways for several hours after forming a broach bear channel in the overnight Globex session.
- Traders should pay attention to the opening of the day as today will probably have a lot of trading range price action, making the open a logical magnet.
- The odds favor a trading range open, which means that most traders should consider waiting for 6-12 bars before placing a trade.
- Most traders should try to catch the open swing that often begins before the end of the second hour. It is common for the open swing to start after forming a double top/bottom or a wedge top/bottom.
Friday’s Emini setups
Richard created the SP500 Emini chart.
EURUSD Forex market trading strategies
EURUSD Forex daily chart
- The EURUSD is attempting to get a second leg down after the selloff that began at the end of December.
- The bears want a bear breakout of the tight trading range and a test of the December low.
- The bulls hope that today’s breakout fails and leads to a failed breakout of the tight trading range. Next, the bulls will want a reversal up and test of the December high.
- At the moment, today is enough of a surprise that it will probably get at least a small second leg down.
- The bears need today to close on its low and, ideally, for tomorrow to form a strong follow-through bar.
Summary of today’s S&P Emini price action
Al created the SP500 Emini chart.
End of day video review
End Of Day Review was presented in the Trading Room today. See below for details on how to sign up. Pilot coaching session today at 2pm PT / 5pm PT. See top of blog.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.
Trading Room
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room days. We offer a 2 day free trial.
Charts use Pacific Time
When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The Emini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the Market Update page.