Trading Update: Friday August 5, 2022 Emini pre-open market analysis Emini daily chart The market is beginning to stall just under the June 2nd high and may have to pullback before test of the high. While the rally up to the June 2nd high has been strong, it is beginning to form a parabolic wedge, […]
Emini likely sideways at June high
Trading Update: Thursday August 4, 2022 Emini pre-open market analysis Emini daily chart Yesterday got within 8 points of the June high. It will probably have to reach it today or tomorrow. Once the market reaches the June 2nd high, Emini likely sideways around that price level. The bulls got the minimum for a second […]
Emini bulls taking partial profits
Trading Update: Wednesday August 3, 2022 Emini pre-open market analysis Emini daily chart The sideways trading over the past two days is likely due to bulls taking partial profits than bears establishing short positions. The first reversal down from the July 29th bull breakout will likely fail and lead to a second leg up and […]
Emini first reversal down likely to fail
Trading Update: Tuesday August 2, 2022 Emini pre-open market analysis Emini daily chart The Emini has had a 5-bar bull micro channel with four consecutive bull bars. The odds are beginning to favor at least a minor pullback soon, with Emini first reversal down likely to fail. The odds also favor a test of the […]
Emini second leg up likely after strong upside breakout
Trading Update: Monday August 1, 2022 Emini pre-open market analysis Emini daily chart The bulls have three strong consecutive bull trend bars on the daily chart with a second leg up likely. The first target for the bulls has been met: the June 9th high, which was the start of the breakout below the June […]
Bitcoin path of least resistance
Market Overview: Bitcoin Futures The Bitcoin futures gained 28% in July because Bears took some profits right at Major Support, the path of least resistance. During the prior Monthly Bitcoin Report, we mentioned that the most important level for the rest of the year would probably be June’s Close: After July’s follow-through month, Traders think […]
EURUSD breaks below 7-year trading range
The EURUSD Forex July candlestick was a big bear bar with a long tail below. It broke below the 7-year trading range low. The long tail below indicates that the bears are not as strong as they could have been. The bears will need to create a consecutive bear bar to confirm the breakout below the 7-year trading range. The selling has been climactic. The trend channel line overshoot and wedge bottom (November 24, May 13 and July 14) increase the odds of at least a small sideways to up pullback (for a couple of weeks) before the EURUSD continue lower. The pullback may have begun in July.
Nasdaq 100 double bottom with May
Market Overview: NASDAQ 100 Emini Futures NASDAQ Emini futures July monthly candlestick is a big bull trend 2-bar reversal reversing June’s bear bar. The month closed above last month’s high, also the most recent sell climax. A NASDAQ 100 double bottom with May. Last month’s report had made a case for July month to be a […]
Emini monthly candlestick close above 20-month EMA
The S&P 500 Emini futures closed below the 20-month exponential moving average in June. It reversed to close above the 20-month exponential moving average in July, like the prior 2 occurrences during the sell-off in December 2018 and the Covid-19 sell-off in 2020. The bulls need to create a consecutive bull bar in August to increase the odds of a re-test of the all-time high. July is an inside bull bar. It is a breakout mode pattern. The first breakout has a 50% chance of failing.
Nifty 50 futures bull flag
Market Overview: Nifty 50 Futures The Nifty 50 gave strong bull close in monthly chart and bulls expect this to be possible trend line of the bull channel. The move down after measured move of measuring gap was very weak to cause bear reversal. Possible Nifty 50 futures bull flag. Nifty 50 in weekly chart still […]