Trading Update: Monday June 17, 2024
S&P Emini pre-open market analysis
Emini daily chart
- The daily chart has two doji bars after last Wednesday’s upside breakout.
- Last Friday, formed a weak high 1 buy signal bar was formed on the daily chart. However, the context is bad for the bulls, and the signal bar is a doji. This increases the odds of sellers above last Friday’s high and the market getting a deeper pullback.
- The bears are hopeful that the rally up from the May 31st low is a parabolic wedge that will lead to two legs sideways to down.
- The rally up from the May 13th low is likely a bull leg in what will become a trading range. This increases the risk that the market will test back down to the May 31st low.
- The bears need to create more selling pressure if they are going to get a strong downside breakout.
- Without more selling pressure, the market will likely continue to go sideways and get closer to the moving average.
Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today
- Emini is down 5 points in the overnight Globex session.
- The Globex market has gone sideways on the 15-minute chart for more of the overnight session. The Bears tried to get a downside breakout a couple of hours before the U.S. Open. However, they failed.
- Traders should expect the open of the U.S. Session to have a lot of trading range price action. This means that most traders should consider waiting for 6-12 bars before placing a trade unless they are able to make quick decisions.
- Most traders should try and catch the opening swing that often begins before the end of the second hour, after the formation of a double top/bottom, or a wedge top/bottom.
- Traders should pay attention to yesterday’s high as the market may try and test it due to it being a buy signal bar on the daily chart.
Friday’s Emini setups
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
Summary of today’s S&P Emini price action
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.
Trading Room
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room days. We offer a 2 day free trial.
Charts use Pacific Time
When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The Emini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the Market Update page.