Trading Update: Tuesday March 12, 2024
S&P Emini pre-open market analysis
Emini daily chart
- Yesterday, the Emini formed a High 1 buy signal bar following a strong bear reversal bar late in a bull channel.
- Because of the wedge top with last Friday, the odds favor a two-legged pullback. This increases the odds that there are probably more sellers above yesterday’s high, and the market will likely get a second leg down closer to the moving average.
- The bull channel is still tight with open gaps. The odds favor sideways to up unless the bears can get more selling pressure.
- The bears need to get closes below the moving average to convince traders they are beginning to take control. Even if they get closes below, the odds will favor a trading range more than a bear trend.
- Overall, traders expect sellers above yesterday’s high and at least a small second leg down.
Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today
- Emini is up 19 points in the overnight Globex session.
- The Globex market recently had a strong reversal up during the 8:30 AM EST report. However, it is currently forming a deep pullback. This will increase the odds of a trading range or bear trend during the U.S. Session.
- Traders should pay attention to yesterday’s high as it will likely be an important magnet today.
- The bears will try and get sellers above, and bulls want a strong close above it, creating a strong entry bar on the daily chart.
- As always, traders should assume that today, there will be a lot of trading range price action on the open. Most traders should consider not trading for the first 6-12 bars on the open.
Yesterday’s Emini setups
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
EURUSD Forex market trading strategies
EURUSD Forex daily chart
- The EURUSD formed an upside breakout last week and is trying to get an endless pullback.
- Even if today is a third consecutive bear bar, the odds favor a minor reversal and sideways rather than a bear trend.
- The January 11th top of the bear channel is within reach. That increases the risk that there are buyers not far below yesterday and that the market will have to reach the January 11th high.
- As strong as the rally is up to the March 8th high, it stalled just under important resistance at the January 11th high. That is a warning that the rally up to March 8th may be a buy vacuum test of resistance rather than the start of a strong bull trend.
Summary of today’s S&P Emini price action
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
End of day video review
End Of Day Review will be presented in the Trading Room today. See below for details on how to sign up.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.
Trading Room
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room days. We offer a 2 day free trial.
Charts use Pacific Time
When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The Emini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the Market Update page.