Trading Update: Tuesday December 5, 2023
S&P Emini pre-open market analysis
Emini daily chart
- The Emini gapped down and sold off below last Friday’s low. The market is continuing to go sideways at reistance.
- Because the market has been in a tight bull channel, there were buyers below last Friday’s low.
- The market is at resistance, the September 1st high, and will probably test the moving average soon.
- The market can reach the moving average by either selling off to it or going sideways and dragging the moving average up to the current price level.
- Even if the market sells to the moving average, there will probably be bulls buying below and scaling in lower.
Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today
- Emini is down 17 points in the overnight Globex session.
- The Globex market is testing the bottom of the trading range, which has lasted for several days.
- The bears want a downside breakout of the trading range that has lasted for the past several days, and the bulls want the market to stabilize and find buyers not far below.
- Today will probably have a lot of trading range price action on the open. Traders should consider waiting for 6 – 12 bars before placing a trade unless they are comfortable using wide stops and limit orders.
- Most traders should wait for the opening swing that often begins before the end of the second hour.
- Most traders should look for the opening swing that often begins before the end of the second hour, after typically forming a double top/bottom or a wedge top/bottom.
- It is important to try and catch the opening swing as it often provides excellent risk/reward.
- It is important on the open to be patient and not in a rush to trade. Remember, a trader is never overdue. One must not force trades when the market is not providing a strong trader’s equation for a trade.
Yesterday’s Emini setups
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
EURUSD Forex market trading strategies
EURUSD Forex daily chart
- The EURUSD closed below the moving average yesterday, and today, it is trying to form another bear breakout and close the market far below the moving average.
- Next, the bears want a test of the November 6th high, the breakout point high for the wedge top. After that, the bears will try for a test of the November 14th breakout bar low.
- At the moment the downside breakout from the November high is strong enough for a second leg down after any pullback. This increases the odds of sellers above scaling higher. However, the pullback could be deep.
Summary of today’s S&P Emini price action
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
End of day video review
End Of Day Review will be presented in the Trading Room today. See below for details on how to sign up.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.
Trading Room
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room days. We offer a 2 day free trial.
Charts use Pacific Time
When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The Emini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the Market Update page.
Hi Brad I would like to know if the sell signal was triggered at bar 13, would it be a reasonable sell?
Hi Mahde,
After the strong first leg you would expect bulls to be scaling in (if bought late), or adding on (if bought early), at about a 50% pullback looking for second leg up – which is what happened.
So bar 13 close would not be a reasonable sell (weak bulls would be shaken out and sell there).
Thank you