Trading Update: Friday March 31, 2023
S&P Emini pre-open market analysis
Emini daily chart
- Today is the final day of month. The bulls have a bull reversal bar, closing near their high. The bulls will want another bull trend day and paint as little of a tail above the current monthly chart bar as possible. The bears want the opposite. They want to create as much damage to the current bar on the monthly chart.
- The Emini gapped up yesterday and closed above the March 22nd high. Although yesterday was a bear close, this is a sign of bullish strength.
- The bulls want to create a measuring gap and trap the limit order bears selling, betting on a failed bull breakout.
- The bears need to prevent the bulls from getting another bull bar today. If the bulls can get another strong close today, it will increase the chances of a measured move from the March 13th low to the March 22nd high, projecting up to around 4,300.
- There is a bear trendline around 4,140, and the market may have to test it.
Emini 5-minute chart and what to expect today
- Emini is up 13 points in the overnight Globex session.
- The Market has been in a tight bull channel on the Globex 60-minute chart since March 28th. Yesterday’s overnight session spent much time going sideways.
- Traders should expect a trading range open. This means that most traders should wait for the first 6-12 bars before placing a trade.
- Most traders should wait for the opening swing trade that usually forms before the end of the 2nd hour after forming a double top/bottom or a wedge top/bottom.
- The most important thing to remember on the open is to be patient and not too eager to trade. There are often several reversals, so traders should wait for a clear breakout with follow-through if they want to trade breakouts.
- Today is the end of the quarter, Month, and week. This will create the potential for a surprise move, up or down late in the day. Traders should be prepared for anything.
Yesterday’s Emini setups
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
EURUSD Forex market trading strategies
EURUSD Forex daily chart
- The EURUSD is Always In Long and will probably surpass the March 23rd high in the next day or two.
- The market will also probably test the February 1st buy-the-close bar. This was a good bar for traders to buy, especially if they were willing to scale in lower. This means the market will probably have to reach it at some point soon.
- The bears still need to develop more selling pressure, or else the best the bears can expect is sideways trading.
Summary of today’s S&P Emini futures price action
Al created the SP500 Emini charts.
End of day review
- Live stream video trial replacement of end of day review coming soon.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the price action on the weekly chart and for what to expect going into next week.
Trading Room
Al Brooks and other presenters talk about the detailed Emini price action real-time each day in the BrooksPriceAction.com trading room days. We offer a 2 day free trial.
Charts use Pacific Time
When times are mentioned, it is USA Pacific Time. The Emini day session charts begin at 6:30 am PT and end at 1:15 pm PT which is 15 minutes after the NYSE closes. You can read background information on the market reports on the Market Update page.
Just starting to read these on a daily basis and really seeing the value that you’re providing here. Thanks for making these!