Posted 7:49 am PST.
For today’s intraday market update, the most important price action in the Emini and stock market is bull trend reversal from a wedge bottom, just above 1900. The 60 minute chart has a lower low major trend reversal. Day traders bought as the reversal was forming and they bought pullbacks. Unless the bears can create some price action that is comparably strong, this will be the controlling price action of the day and day traders will look to buy pullbacks.
At the moment, the bears are creating an expanding triangle bear flag with yesterday’s trading range, and a wedge top today. However, the rally is strong enough so that the best the bears will probably get is a trading range down to the 1910 area. The low of the open will probably hold all day.
The market rallied 13 points above the open. For today to be a bear trend day, the bar on the daily chart would have a tail on top that is 13 points tall. That is extremely unusual and therefore very unlikely. The day will probably either be a bull trend day or a trading range day.
The candle on the weekly chart closes on Friday. Last week had a strong bear reversal, but it might simply be a test of the weekly moving average. The appearance of this week’s candle is important. The bears want strong follow-through to confirm last week’s reversal. At a minimum, they want a bear body on the weekly bar one it closes on Friday. The also want the bar to close below last week’s close and low and below the moving average. They would prefer the bar to be a big bear bar that closes far below the moving average.
The bulls want the opposite, and especially will try to create a big bull reversal bar by the close of Friday. So far, the bar is small, but traders will be ready in the final hour or two on Friday for a strong move up or down if one side appears to be winning at the end of the week.
See the weekly update for a discussion of the weekly chart.
@Spiral.
I do not trade forex but Al’s books, course videos, and articles give plenty of forex examples. You can trade forex with BPA methods. Al even added a new Forex Trading Course 56 minute video to the main course this year that any course owners can download as an update.
Hope that helps.
Thank you for your response.
i think if you put more analysis and trade setups in forex on your site it will show the benefits practically.
Good point Spiral. Al does have some forex articles in mind to broaden appeal so will discuss topic with him.
hello
has anybody used al’s method in trading forex?
i think his method is good only for futures because in futures we do not have lots of movements like fx.for example just compare a 5min e-mini with 5 min EURUSD.
out of this i think it’s only for futures.
what do you think?
Thanks for your kind feedback.
I will pass on comments to Al for his attention. With Al being so busy doing all the great things he does, he does not have time to answer comments here on the site. But he does answer questions on his BPA site daily update forum for trading room attendees.
Richard (BTCAdmin)
Al Brooks is amazing — An incredible teacher and brilliant trader. There is no way I can ever thank him enough for all that he has done for me in my trading skills development. I started with the books and, then, bought the course. This month, for the first time, I am in the trading room and learning even more. His energy and insight and patience and kindness are 100% all day — non-stop — and if you are serious about trading and need a smart, fast way to learn — Al Brooks is the go-to person as far as I am concerned. He gives WAY more than I am sure he “gets” from teaching … so, you know that he does this because he cares about others and wants to leave a legacy. He is brilliant, truly. His words are carefully measured and if you really listen — you will get the foundation you need to be the best trader you can be from Al.
Thanks for the updates Al. They provide a great frame of reference to compare my own read with and that alone has made me a much better trader.